Sunday, September 14, 2008

History Being Made

[EDIT: Looks like a capitulation washout will be coming soon, at least from here.]

I am not going to comment on the historic nature of tonight as you can see that everywhere you look. However, it does mean a washout of a capitulation could be near which would mean going long. If you see a high VIX (30 - 35) with the Dow at 500 in the negative, it may be time to go long. There will be indications, however, so I would not recommend trying to get too fancy.

What it probably does mean to me is that my pattern studies will more than likely not play out. I had a few others to add to my SPY below, but I will refrain for now. It will be important to gauge tomorrow's movement to see what new patterns might be emerging.

As always, risk management is priority. Unfortunately, I exited all my short positions on Friday based on stops and the like, and I did not like the risk of a short position going into this weekend. But I am not fretting too much as a great opportunity should come soon to move counter-trend for the intermediate term.

Floor Pivots for tomorrow:


SPY QQQQ IWM DIA
R2: 127.76 44.16 73.24 116.04
R1: 126.92 43.79 72.75 115.42
PP: 125.38 43.35 71.89 114.21
S1: 124.54 42.98 71.40 113.59
S2: 123.00 42.54 70.54 112.38


XLB XLE XLF
R2: 39.29 70.45 21.89
R1: 38.69 69.69 21.52
PP: 37.70 68.22 21.15
S1: 37.10 67.46 20.78
S2: 36.11 65.99 20.41

No comments: